Monday, February 16

Assessing DIC (TSE:4631) Valuation After Recent Share Price Moves And Intrinsic Discount Signals


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DIC (TSE:4631) has caught investor attention after recent share price moves, including a 2.7% decline over the past day alongside gains over the past week, month, and past 3 months.

With the stock last closing at ¥4,250 and a reported intrinsic discount of 26.3%, investors are weighing how this pricing compares with the company’s current earnings, growth profile, and business mix.

See our latest analysis for DIC.

While the 2.7% 1 day share price decline stands out, DIC’s 30 day share price return of 12.82% and 1 year total shareholder return of 35.37% point to positive momentum that aligns with its current intrinsic discount.

If this move has you thinking about other opportunities tied to industrial demand and infrastructure, it could be a good time to scan 8 top copper producer stocks as a fresh source of ideas.

With DIC trading at ¥4,250 and an indicated 26.3% intrinsic discount, yet sitting above the analyst price target, the key question is whether the market is underestimating the business or already pricing in future growth.

DIC is trading on a P/E of 12.4x, which sits below both its peer average of 18.8x and the Japan Chemicals industry average of 14.8x. The current level is also below our fair P/E estimate of 15.7x.

The P/E multiple compares the current share price to the company’s earnings per share and is a common way investors gauge how much they are paying for each unit of profit. For a business like DIC, which operates across printing materials, pigments and performance materials, this ratio offers a quick indication of how the market is valuing its earnings relative to similar companies.

The forecast earnings growth rate of 5.1% per year trails the wider Japan market forecast of 9.2%. A lower P/E in this context can suggest the market is pricing in more modest profit expansion. At the same time, the fair P/E estimate of 15.7x stands above the current 12.4x. This points to a level the multiple might reasonably move toward if earnings and cash flows follow existing expectations and market sentiment shifts closer to that fair value view.

Compared with the peer average of 18.8x and the Japan Chemicals industry average of 14.8x, DIC’s 12.4x P/E is meaningfully lower. This indicates the shares are valued at a discount to both direct peers and the broader sector on current earnings. Relative to the estimated fair P/E of 15.7x, the current multiple also appears conservative, which may be relevant for investors assessing how much they are paying today against an earnings profile that is forecast to grow, although at a slower pace than the overall market.

Explore the SWS fair ratio for DIC

Result: Price-to-Earnings of 12.4x (UNDERVALUED)

However, you still need to watch for earnings growth that trails the wider market, as well as any shift in demand for printing materials and performance resins.

Find out about the key risks to this DIC narrative.

While the P/E of 12.4x suggests DIC is on the cheap side, our DCF model points to an estimated future cash flow value of ¥5,767.7 per share versus a current price of ¥4,250. That gap indicates the shares screen as undervalued on cash flows as well. The question is whether those future cash flows materialise as expected.

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

4631 Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026
4631 Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out DIC for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 21 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match – so you never miss a potential opportunity.

If you are not fully on board with this view or prefer to rely on your own analysis, you can quickly build a personalised thesis by starting with Do it your way.

A great starting point for your DIC research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

If you only stop at DIC, you could miss other opportunities that better match your goals, so take a few minutes to widen your watchlist smartly.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include 4631.T.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com



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