Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering ‘the next big thing’, even if that means buying ‘story stocks’ without any revenue, let alone profit. Unfortunately, these high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson. Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, so investors in these companies may be taking on more risk than they should.
If this kind of company isn’t your style, you like companies that generate revenue, and even earn profits, then you may well be interested in Philip Morris International (NYSE:PM). Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide Philip Morris International with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.
The market is a voting machine in the short term, but a weighing machine in the long term, so you’d expect share price to follow earnings per share (EPS) outcomes eventually. That means EPS growth is considered a real positive by most successful long-term investors. Over the last three years, Philip Morris International has grown EPS by 7.7% per year. While that sort of growth rate isn’t anything to write home about, it does show the business is growing.
Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. The good news is that Philip Morris International is growing revenues, and EBIT margins improved by 6.3 percentage points to 41%, over the last year. That’s great to see, on both counts.
The chart below shows how the company’s bottom and top lines have progressed over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.
See our latest analysis for Philip Morris International
Of course the knack is to find stocks that have their best days in the future, not in the past. You could base your opinion on past performance, of course, but you may also want to check this interactive graph of professional analyst EPS forecasts for Philip Morris International.
Since Philip Morris International has a market capitalisation of US$292b, we wouldn’t expect insiders to hold a large percentage of shares. But we do take comfort from the fact that they are investors in the company. Indeed, they have a considerable amount of wealth invested in it, currently valued at US$400m. While that is a lot of skin in the game, we note this holding only totals to 0.1% of the business, which is a result of the company being so large. So despite their percentage holding being low, company management still have plenty of reasons to deliver the best outcomes for investors.