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Key takeaways:

  • The median purchase rate remained effectively constant at 5.99% in week 7, 2026
  • According to Mortgage News Daily, the avg. 30-year rate was 6.04% on Feb. 10th.
  • Purchase rate lock volume remains muted, down 31% from the same week in 2020 and down 1% YoY.
  • Preliminary YoY HPA was 2.1% in December 2025 and projected at  2.0%, 1.9%, and 2.2% for Jan. 2026, Feb. 2026, and the first two weeks of Mar. 2026, respectively.
  • Projected YoY HPA has continued to slow, largely due to subdued purchase activity, relatively high rates and inventory, and a diminishing pool of well-qualified entry-level buyers.