A new poll released Thursday by Metron Analysis for Mega TV shows the governing New Democracy maintaining a clear lead, though its support has edged down slightly from January.
According to the survey, New Democracy remains Greece’s dominant political force with 21.4% in voting intention, down from 22.3%. The socialist PASOK holds second place with 9.3%, also slipping from 9.8%.
The race for third place has tightened significantly. The populist Course of Freedom stands at 8.1%, narrowly ahead of the anti-immigrant Greek Solution at 8%. The Communist Party of Greece (KKE) follows with 6.1%, while leftist SYRIZA continues to lag at 4%.
The survey finds a large share of undecided voters and abstainers – described as a “gray zone” – at 15.2%.
Weighted estimates
When undecided voters are redistributed to project a likely election outcome, New Democracy’s lead widens to 29.4%.
Under that projection, PASOK rises to 12.7%, while Course of Freedom and Greek Solution remain close for third place at 11.2% and 10.9%, respectively.
Other projected results include: KKE at 8.3%, SYRIZA at 5.4%, the anti-immigrant Voice of Reason at 4.2%, and the radical-left MeRA25 at 3.3%.
Smaller parties such as the ultraconservative Niki and New Left each register 1.9%, while the Movement for Democracy stands at 1.3% and the far-right Spartans at 0.5%. The threshold to enter Parliament is 3%.
Public sentiment and leadership ratings
The poll shows widespread pessimism, with 68% of respondents saying the country is moving in the wrong direction.
Seven in 10 Greeks rate the government’s performance negatively, while 68% express a negative view of Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis.
Despite low approval ratings for the government, no opposition leader emerges as a dominant alternative for the premiership. “None of the above” is the most common response to the question of who is most suitable for prime minister, chosen by 33% of respondents.
Mitsotakis follows at 26%, while other party leaders trail in single digits.
Zoe Konstantopoulou, leader of Course of Freedom, records the highest approval rating among political leaders at 41%.
Views on potential new parties
The survey also measures attitudes toward possible new political parties led by prominent figures, though none have officially confirmed plans to form one.
Former conservative prime minister Antonis Samaras draws skepticism, with 69% saying it is unlikely they would support a party led by him. A similar share – 61% – says it is unlikely they would back a new party led by former leftist premier Alexis Tsipras.
Public support also weakens for Maria Karystianou, who rose to prominence seeking accountability for victims of the 2023 Tempe rail disaster. Her negative ratings stand at 54%, compared with 38% positive.
While her appeal declines among left- and center-leaning voters, it increases slightly among right-wing respondents, rising from 35% to 39% in that group.