Find your next quality investment with Simply Wall St’s easy and powerful screener, trusted by over 7 million individual investors worldwide.
Walt Disney (DIS) has been trading around $105.58, with a mixed return profile that includes a small 1 day decline and a modest gain over the past 3 months, alongside weaker year to date and 1 year results.
See our latest analysis for Walt Disney.
At around $105.58, Walt Disney’s recent share price moves show fading short term momentum, with a 30 day share price return of a 4.87% decline, contrasting with a 3.57% gain over 90 days and a 3 year total shareholder return of 7.74%.
If this has you thinking about where else growth stories might emerge around media, content and technology, our screener of 22 top founder-led companies is a useful next stop.
With revenue of US$95.7b, net income of US$12.3b, and the share price sitting around US$105, the key question is whether Disney is quietly undervalued or if the market is already banking on future growth.
Against a last close of $105.58, the most followed narrative, according to Cashflow_Queen, points to a fair value of $131.50, which frames Disney as meaningfully undervalued on that view.
ESPN remains the most valuable live sports platform, and its evolving partnership with the NFL is a game-changer. Exclusive rights, expanded streaming packages, and the launch of ESPN Unlimited could make Disney the default home for professional football. The NFL partnership extends beyond linear broadcasts to streaming exclusives, international rights, and integrated advertising packages, creating enormous revenue upside. By leveraging the NFL brand, Disney can accelerate ESPN’s subscriber growth, command premium ad pricing, and entrench its dominance in live sports.
Curious what has to happen across streaming, ESPN and the parks business to justify that price tag? The narrative leans on higher margins, steady revenue compounding and a richer earnings multiple than the market is giving today. Want to see how those moving parts fit together into that $131.50 figure?
Result: Fair Value of $131.50 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.
However, this hinges on ESPN managing rising sports rights costs and on parks holding up if discretionary travel or consumer spending softens.
Find out about the key risks to this Walt Disney narrative.
Our DCF model takes a more conservative stance than the ESPN bull case. At around $105.58, Walt Disney is trading a little above our future cash flow estimate of $102.14, which points to a small premium rather than clear upside. So, is this price just cautious optimism or early overpayment?
