Warriors vs. Rockets prediction, odds, line, start time: 2026 NBA picks for Thursday, March 5

The Golden State Warriors will look to snap a two-game losing streak when they battle the Houston Rockets in a key NBA Western Conference matchup on Thursday night. Golden State is coming off a 114-101 loss to the Los Angeles Clippers on Monday, while Houston downed the Washington Wizards 123-118 that same night. The Warriors (31-30), who are the eighth seed in the West, are 12-17 on the road this season. The Rockets (38-22), who are third in the conference, are 20-7 on their home floor. Steph Curry (knee) remains out for Golden State. Alperen Sengun (illness), Jabari Smith Jr. (ankle) and Amen Thompson (ankle) are all questionable for Houston.

Tipoff from Toyota Center in Houston is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. The Rockets lead the all-time series 129-110, including wins in each of the last two meetings. The Rockets are 9.5-point favorites in the latest Warriors vs. Rockets odds from. DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 215.5. Before making any Warriors vs. Rockets picks, check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model entered Week 20 on a sizzling 41-18 roll on top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to last season. Anyone following its NBA betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.    

Now, the model has simulated Warriors vs. Rockets 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Rockets vs. Warriors:

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Top Warriors vs. Rockets predictions

After 10,000 simulations of Warriors vs. Rockets, SportsLine’s model is going Under on the total (215.5). The Under has hit in seven of the past 10 head-to-head matchups between the teams, including each of the last two. The Under hit in the last Golden State game, and in five of the last nine Houston games. The Warriors are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games. The Rockets, meanwhile, are 5-5 ATS in their last 10.

The SportsLine model is projecting the Warriors’ De’Anthony Mason to score 18.2 points on average and be one of five Golden State players to score 10.6 or more points. The Rockets’ Kevin Durant, meanwhile, is projected to score 24.2 points as six Houston players score 11 points or more. The teams are projected to combine for 214 points.

How to make Rockets vs. Warriors picks

The model also says one side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks. 

So who wins Rockets vs. Warriors, and which side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Warriors vs. Rockets spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.