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The shorthanded Philadelphia 76ers head to Ball Arena to face the Denver Nuggets, who will look to get back on track following an overtime loss to the Lakers on Sunday.
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Jamal Murray struggled to find his shot in his last game, but my 76ers vs Nuggets predictions call for him to bounce back and dominate Philly.
Here are my best free NBA picks for this cross-conference showdown on Tuesday, March 17.
76ers vs Nuggets prediction
76ers vs Nuggets best bet: Jamal Murray Over 24.5 points (-112)
Denver Nuggets guard Jamal Murray had a brutal showing against the Lakers, finishing with just five points on 1 of 14 shooting.
In eight games prior, he averaged 29.9 points and scored 25+ six times. He’s averaging a career-best 25.1 points per game, and he’s scored 25+ in 30 of 63 games.
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Injuries have taken their toll on the Philadelphia 76ers, and over the last 10 games, the Sixers rank 22nd in defensive rating (116.4).
With so many key players sidelined, Philly lacks depth, size, and the quality defenders needed to slow Murray.
76ers vs Nuggets same-game parlay
Over the last 10 games, the Philadelphia 76ers have surrendered 15.5 triples on 36.6% shooting. Murray is knocking down a career-best 3.1 triples at a 42.4% clip, and he should find his rhythm from beyond the arc at home.
In addition to his career-best scoring average, Murray is dishing a career-high 7.1 dimes. He’s handed out seven assists in 33 of 63 contests, and he’s gone for at least 25 points and seven assists 15 times. Philadelphia has allowed the seventh-most assists per game this season.
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76ers vs Nuggets SGP
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Jamal Murray Over 24.5 points
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Jamal Murray Over 2.5 made threes
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Jamal Murray Over 6.5 assists
Our “from downtown” SGP: Someone’s Gotta Score!
The 76ers will be without four of their Top-5 scorers with all of Joel Embiid, Paul George, Tyrese Maxey and Kelly Oubre Jr. sidelined. Someone’s got to pick up the scoring slack for Philly.
Quentin Grimes has averaged better than 23 points across his last six games, scoring 21+ four times, including each of his last two. Justin Edwards has started three straight games, and he’s scored 12, 19, and 28 points while running with the first unit.
Cameron Payne has averaged 15.2 points across his last five games with Maxey sidelined, and he’s scored 11+ four times in that span. Dominick Barlow has been a starter for most of the season, but he’s been more productive on offense as of late, scoring 10+ in four straight contests.
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76ers vs Nuggets SGP
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Quentin Grimes Over 20.5 points
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Justin Edwards Over 12.5 points
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Cameron Payne Over 10.5 points
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Dominick Barlow Over 10.5 points
76ers vs Nuggets odds
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Spread: 76ers +15.5 (-110) | Nuggets -15.5 (-110)
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Moneyline: 76ers +700 | Nuggets -1100
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Over/Under: Over 236 (-110) | Under 236 (-110)
76ers vs Nuggets betting trend to know
The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for 76ers vs. Nuggets.
How to watch 76ers vs Nuggets
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Location |
Ball Arena, Denver, CO |
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Date |
Tuesday, March 17, 2026 |
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Tip-off |
10:00 p.m. ET |
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TV |
NBC/Peacock |
76ers vs Nuggets latest injuries
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