Saturday, March 28

How The McKesson (MCK) Narrative Is Shifting With Biosimilars Execution And Richer Valuation


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McKesson’s fair value estimate has shifted only slightly, moving from about US$995.27 to about US$997.67 per share, while recent Street price targets cluster higher in the US$1,040 to US$1,050 range. Analysts are linking those upper tier targets to execution around biosimilars, co-manufacturing, and specialty distribution, while also pointing out where expectations could be getting full. As you read on, you will see how these moving pieces fit together and what to watch as the McKesson story continues to evolve.

Stay updated as the Fair Value for McKesson shifts by adding it to your watchlist or portfolio. Alternatively, explore our Community to discover new perspectives on McKesson.

  • BofA lifted its McKesson target to US$1,040 from US$970, pointing to biosimilar optionality after McKesson received a National Drug Code for a biosimilar version of Neulasta and highlighting potential in co-manufacturing.

  • Barclays raised its target to US$1,050 from US$960 and expects the shares to “remain in favor” as some investors look for perceived safety within healthcare, reinforcing interest in McKesson at higher valuation levels.

  • BofA also cites seven large biosimilars expected to come to market over the next few years, including four it views as directly addressable for McKesson, which it uses to support a higher implied opportunity set.

  • Morgan Stanley, TD Cowen, Wells Fargo, Mizuho, JPMorgan, and Baird have all issued upward target revisions in recent months, indicating broad analyst interest in McKesson’s execution in distribution, specialty, and related services.

  • Barclays flags valuation as a watchpoint, noting that McKesson is trading at about a 15% premium to its three year average, which may limit potential upside if execution around biosimilars, co-manufacturing, or specialty distribution falls short of expectations.

Do your thoughts align with the Bull or Bear Analysts? Perhaps you think there’s more to the story. Head to the Simply Wall St Community to discover more perspectives!

NYSE:MCK 1-Year Stock Price Chart
NYSE:MCK 1-Year Stock Price Chart

We’ve flagged 1 risk for McKesson. See which could impact your investment.

  • McKesson’s long serving CFO, Britt Vitalone, plans to retire after a 20 year career with the company. He will move into a strategic advisor role to support the CFO transition and the planned separation of the Medical Surgical Solutions business.

  • Kenny Cheung, previously Executive Vice President and CFO at Sysco, is expected to join McKesson as CFO effective May 29, 2026. He brings experience across global financial planning and analysis, accounting, audit, tax, and corporate finance.

  • Between October 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025, McKesson repurchased 800,000 shares for US$652.29m. This completed a total of 64,000,000 shares repurchased for US$18,429.89m under the buyback first announced on May 24, 2018.

  • AOP Health US, LLC reported that its critical care therapy Rapiblyk (landiolol) is now more widely available in the US through several distributors, including McKesson. This expands access for hospitals and health systems through preferred purchasing channels.

  • Fair value estimate is about US$997.67 per share, up from about US$995.27, a change of roughly US$2.40.

  • Long term revenue growth input remains around 8.04%, with only a minimal adjustment in the fourth decimal place.

  • Projected net profit margin stays close to 1.20%, with a very small upward tweak in the assumption.

  • Future P/E multiple is about 23.19x, compared with about 23.13x previously.

  • Discount rate remains essentially unchanged at about 6.98%.

Narratives link a company’s business story to the assumptions behind its earnings outlook and fair value. They refresh as new data, estimates, and risks come through, so you can see what has changed and why.

Head over to the Simply Wall St Community and follow the Narrative on McKesson to stay up to date on:

  • How expansion in specialty pharmaceuticals and value added services, including acquisitions like Core Ventures and PRISM Vision, is shaping revenue quality and recurring income.

  • What analysts are assuming around automation, digitization, and co manufacturing as drivers for operational efficiency and margin support.

  • The key risks from drug pricing pressure, vertical integration by manufacturers and payers, and the impact of lower margin generics and biosimilars on long term profitability.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include MCK.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com



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