Wednesday, April 1

Stocks set to tumble as Middle East conflict intensifies


The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) and European stocks are set to start the week lower on Monday morning as the war in the Middle East enters its fifth week.

Markets in Asia also headed lower overnight, on concerns that higher crude oil prices will weigh on economic growth, after Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen joined the conflict by striking Israel over the weekend.

Meanwhile, Iran threatened to expand retaliatory strikes against universities and the homes of US and Israeli officials.

President Donald Trump said in an interview with the Financial Times on Sunday that he could “take the oil in Iran” and possibly seize its major fuel hub of Kharg Island.

When asked about Iranian defence on the island he said: “I don’t think they have any defence. We could take it very easily.”

“Markets spent a month pricing a short, contained conflict,” said Hebe Chen, senior market analyst at Vantage Global Prime. “That wishful optimism has now broken with the Houthis’ entry over the weekend. The playbook is being rewritten from this week as prolonged war risk becomes increasingly credible.”

  • London’s benchmark index (^FTSE) is set to open around 0.3% lower.

  • Germany’s DAX (^GDAXI) is set to slip 0.6% and the CAC (^FCHI) in Paris will fall 0.2% at the start of trading.

  • The pan-European STOXX 600 (^STOXX) will also headed into the red.

  • Wall Street is set for a negative start as S&P 500 futures (ES=F), Dow futures (YM=F) and Nasdaq futures (NQ=F) were all in the red.

  • The pound was 0.1% higher against the US dollar (GBPUSD=X) at 1.3273.

Follow along for live updates throughout the day:

LIVE 2 updates

  • Brent crude tops $115 a barrel

    Brent crude oil (BZ=F) rose over $115 a barrel this morning as the Middle East crisis escalated with the entry of Houthi rebels into the Iran war.

    As the conflict entered its fifth week, Yemen’s Houthi rebels on Saturday said they had fired “a barrage of cruise missiles and drones” at strategic sites in Israel.

    The news sent the price of oil to its highest level since earlier in the month after the United States and Israel began their campaign against Iran. Both main contracts jumped more than three percent at one point, with Brent hitting close to $117 a barrel.

    On 18 March, the benchmark oil contract hit $119.50, the highest level since June 2022.

  • Coming up

    Good morning, and welcome back to our markets live blog. As usual we will be taking a deep dive into what’s moving markets and happening across the global economy.

    In terms of data we will have US March Dallas Fed manufacturing activity, February net consumer credit, M4, Germany March CPI, Italy February PPI, Eurozone March economic confidence.

    Central banks speakers include the Federal Reserve’s Jerome Powell and Williams, and ECB’s Stournaras is set to speak today.

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