Monday, April 13

Stocks fall after US-Iran peace talks collapse


The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) and other European markets started off the week firmly in the red, after US-Iran peace talks collapsed and president Donald Trump threatened to blockade the Strait of Hormuz.

US vice president JD Vance, and other American officials, left Islamabad on Sunday after 21 hours of talks with Iran, which failed to result in an agreement.

Trump later posted on Truth Social that the US navy would “begin the process of BLOCKADING any and all Ships trying to enter, or leave, the Strait of Hormuz”.

The developments over the weekend have dampened hopes of a swift end to the conflict in the Middle East, sending stocks lower and oil prices soaring.

Susannah Streeter, Wealth Club chief investment strategist, said: “By blockading the Strait of Hormuz, Trump is turning Iran’s chokepoint into a US stranglehold. The prospect of all tankers ceasing transit through this key waterway is making the energy crisis even more acute.”

“Trump does have a track record of pulling back from the brink, especially when markets react negatively, and so there will be hopes that he’ll remain true to form and an agreement can be salvaged sooner rather than later,” she said. “But in the meantime, investors should be prepared for more turbulence.”

Here’s how markets are faring on Monday morning:

  • London’s benchmark index (^FTSE) declined 0.4% in early European trading

  • Germany’s DAX (^GDAXI) dropped 0.9% and the CAC (^FCHI) in Paris was 1% in the red

  • The pan-European STOXX 600 (^STOXX) fell 0.7%

  • In the US, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) were down 0.5%. Contracts on the S&P 500 (ES=F) and Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) dropped roughly 0.6% and 0.7%, respectively

  • The pound edged 0.2% lower against the US dollar (GBPUSD=X) at $1.3425

Follow along for updates throughout the day:

LIVE 4 updates

  • Vicky McKeever

    Heathrow: Outlook uncertain due to Middle East conflict

    Heathrow Airport said on Monday that its outlook for the next few month is uncertain due to the conflict in the Middle East.

    In a statement, the UK’s biggest airport said it is supporting airlines and passengers as they adapt to airspace closures across the Middle East, including a 10% spike in transfer passengers.

    Heathrow said it had seen year-on-year growth last month despite disruption as demand shifted across its long-haul network, with 6.6 million passengers.

    Heathrow CEO Thomas Woldbye said: “While Heathrow’s long-haul network absorbed demand in March, the outlook for the next few months remains uncertain. I’m proud of what colleagues have achieved to quickly adapt and continue giving passengers a great service during difficult times.”

  • Vicky McKeever

    Vistry appoints new CEO

    FTSE 250-listed housebuilder Vistry (VTY.L) announced on Monday that it had Adam Daniels as CEO and executive director with immediate effect.

    Daniels, who is currently the executive chair of one of Vistry’s two largest operating divisions and a member of the company’s executive leadership team, is taking over from Greg Fitzgerald.

    Vistry shares fell 3% on Monday morning, following the announcement, and are down nearly 49% year-to-date.

    Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell (AJB.L), said: “The market seems underwhelmed by the identity of Greg Fitzgerald’s replacement at Vistry after the housebuilder chose to promote from within.”

    “It seems investors would have preferred to see a more experienced pair of hands at the helm to continue the recovery from this episode in what looks set to be a tricky market environment,” he said.

  • Vicky McKeever

    Oil prices rocket higher

    Failed US-Iran peace talks and Trump’s threat of blockading the Hormuz strait drove a fresh spike in oil prices on Monday morning.

    Brent crude futures (BZ=F) jumped 7.3% to $102.13 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) surged 7.6% to $103.88 per barrel.

    Saxo UK investor strategist Neil Wilson said: “The main thing to consider is China as the main customer of Iranian oil – the blockade appears to be a tool to pressure China to strong arm its strategic partner to hurry up and do a deal. Diplomacy is the continuation of war by other means in this case.”

    “How this plays out over the next few weeks we shall see but it seems that there is a willingness on the part of the US and China as the two key superpowers to de-escalate and talks should continue,” he said. “There is clearly a geopolitical premium for oil this week and it will continue to be exposed to volatility and abrupt shifts.”

  • Vicky McKeever

    Good morning!

    Welcome back to our markets live blog. As usual we will be taking a deep dive into what’s moving markets, and what’s happening across our global economy.

    Stay tuned for updates throughout the day!

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