Tuesday, March 24

Markets cautiously higher ahead of Rachel Reeves’ autumn budget


The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) and European stocks made muted moves higher on Tuesday morning, lacking direction as traders look to tomorrow’s UK’s autumn budget with trepidation.

The pound’s performance and UK gilts have the potential for volatility today and later in the week. Sterling was up slightly against the dollar (GBPUSD=X) in early trade, rising about 0.1% above the $1.31 mark.

UK bondholders are currently sitting on healthy returns for the year, but could face a selloff come Wednesday if market jitters take hold like they did for Rachel Reeves’ first budget as chancellor last year, and for the infamous mini-budget delivered by Liz Truss in 2022.

Ahead of her budget speech, Reeves told MPs that tax rises would be kept to a minimum and that the budget will prioritise cutting the cost of living, cutting NHS waiting lists and cutting the cost of debt, according to a report in The Guardian.

  • London’s premier index rose 0.2% in early trade, led higher by B&Q owner Kingfisher (KGF.L) following its latest financial report

  • The DAX (^GDAXI) in Germany rose 0.1% as selling pressure eased slightly on its big cap defence stocks

  • France’s CAC 40 (^FCHI) gained 0.4%

  • The pan-European STOXX 600 (^STOXX) ticked up 0.3%

LIVE 7 updates

  • FTSE 100 risers and fallers

  • Fed whispering

    Neil Wilson, UK investor strategist at Saxo Markets, said:

  • Nvidia shares lower on news of Meta-Google AI chip deal

    Nvidia (NVDA) shares erased the gains they made on Monday in premarket trade, falling more than 2% following news that social media giant Meta (META) is turning to Google (GOOG) for AI chips.

    According to a report in The Information, Meta is looking to buy TPU chips from Google for use in data centres planned for 2027. News of the deal and other market factors buoyed Google.

    Google has also struck deals for its AI chips with Anthropic — the LLM provider is set to purchase 1 million chips from the search behemoth.

  • Featured on Yahoo Finance UK today

  • US stock futures hover after recovery rally

    Our US team writes:

    US stock futures hovered below the flatline Tuesday morning as Wall Street looked to build on a broad tech-led rebound amid growing optimism that the Federal Reserve may deliver a rate cut next month.

    Futures linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average (YM=F) and Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) ticked down 0.1%, while contracts on the S&P 500 (ES=F) wavered below the baseline.

    Monday’s session delivered a strong start to the holiday-shortened week. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) jumped almost 1.6%, while the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) surged 2.7% as megacap tech snapped back from a bruising stretch. But even with Monday’s bounce, major indexes are still pacing toward monthly losses as investors reassess sky-high valuations in AI and growth stocks.

    Traders are keeping close watch on the Fed. Markets now assign an 80%-plus probability to a quarter-point rate cut in December. Rate-cut expectations jumped after New York Fed President John Williams signaled last week that cuts could come in the “near term,” and Fed governor Chris Waller added fuel to that fire on Monday.

  • Good morning!

    It’s Tuesday. On the slate today:

    • CBI industrial trades survey

    • US pending homes sales

    • US S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller national house price index

    • US Conference Board consumer confidence index

    • ECB’s Villeroy, Makhlouf, Sleijpen and Cipollone speak

    Financial updates today come from:

    We’ll also be watching budget rumours and how stocks are faring in the shortened Thanksgiving week.

    Let’s get to it.



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