Dec. 28, 2025, 9:11 a.m. ET
The Golden State Warriors (16-15) and Toronto Raptors (18-14) meet Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Warriors vs. Raptors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
2024-25 season series: Split 1-1
The Warriors beat the Dallas Mavericks 126-116 Thursday, but failed to cover as a 10.5-point home favorite with the Over (228.5) cashing. G Stephen Curry led 7 Warriors in double figures with 23 points. Golden State has won 3 in a row and 5 of its last 8 games, but is just 3-5 against the spread (ATS) in those. It is 14-17 ATS on the season.
The Raptors lost to the Washington Wizards 138-117 Friday, failing to cover as an 8-point road favorite as the Over (223) hit. F Brandon Ingram scored a team-high 29 points on 10-for-20 shooting. Toronto has gone just 3-7 over its last 10 games and is 3-7 ATS in that stretch. It is 14-18 ATS on the season.
Warriors at Raptors odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:03 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Raptors +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -4.5 (-110) | Raptors +4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Warriors at Raptors key injuries
Warriors
- G Seth Curry (sciatic nerve) out
- G De’Anthony Melton (knee) out
- F Brandin Podziemski (abdominal) probable
Raptors
- G RJ Barrett (knee) questionable
- F Collin Murray-Boyles (illness) questionable
- C Jakob Poeltl (back) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Warriors at Raptors picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 115, Raptors 106
PASS.
There’s no great moneyline option to consider. The Warriors (-185) are too expensive to play here, but are the better option to win this game.
BET WARRIORS -4.5 (-110).
The Raptors have been awful over the last few weeks, especially at home. They have lost 5 straight home games, including a 25-point defeat against the Charlotte Hornets. Toronto is 0-5 ATS in that stretch. Without Barrett returning, its offense should continue to struggle.
The Warriors have gone 2-3 straight up and 3-2 ATS over their last 5 road games. They have a 10-point win over the Dallas Mavericks and a 23-point win over the Orlando Magic in their last 2 contests. Expect them to continue surging and take WARRIORS -4.5 (-110).
BET UNDER 224.5 (-105).
Both sides have a slight Under trend. The Warriors are 4-5 O/U in their last 9 contests and have allowed fewer than 100 points in 2 of their last 4 games.
The Raptors are the bigger concern here and are 1-6 O/U in their last 7 games. Their offense has had major issues, scoring 106 points or fewer in 4 of their last 7 performances. Take UNDER 224.5 (-110).
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