Mavericks vs. Rockets Prediction, Odds, Picks – Jan. 3

The Dallas Mavericks (12-23) hope to stop a four-game losing skid when hosting the Houston Rockets (21-10) on January 3, 2026 at American Airlines Center. The Mavericks square off with the Rockets in a game that does not have a line set.

Here is everything you need to know about the Mavericks-Rockets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Mavericks vs. Rockets Game Information and TV Channel

• When: Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
• TV: SCHN and KFAA
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Mavericks vs. Rockets Prediction

ATS Pick: Rockets (+ )
O/U Pick: Under ()
Score Prediction: Rockets 121 – Mavericks 111

Mavericks Recent Trends

• Over their past 10 games, the Mavericks have two wins against the spread, and are 3-7 overall.
• The Mavericks are 14-20-1 against the spread this season.
• Mavericks games this year have gone over the total in 18 out of 31 opportunities (58.1%).
• The Mavericks put up 113.6 points per game, only 2.1 more points than the 111.5 the Rockets give up.
• Dallas is 9-9-1 against the spread and 10-9 overall when scoring more than 111.5 points.
• The Mavericks make 46.9% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.6 percentage points higher than the Rockets have allowed to their opponents (46.3%).
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered nine times in 19 opportunities at home, and they’ve covered five times in 16 opportunities on the road.
• When playing at home, Dallas eclipses the over/under 47.4% of the time (nine of 19 games). It hits the over more often in away games, exceeding the total in 56.2% of games (nine of 16).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Mavericks have won a higher percentage of their games when playing at home (.429) compared to away games (.250).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Cooper Flagg posts 19.2 points, 6.4 rebounds and 4.1 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.8 blocks.
• P.J. Washington posts 15.2 points, 7.7 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest, shooting 46.1% from the floor and 32.0% from downtown with 1.4 made treys per contest.
• Naji Marshall averages 13.3 points, 4.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest, shooting 53.5% from the floor.
• Anthony Davis averages 20.1 points, 10.7 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest, shooting 51.8% from the field.
• Brandon Williams averages 11.5 points, 2.6 rebounds and 4.0 assists per contest, shooting 41.8% from the floor.

Rockets Recent Trends

• The Rockets have gone 6-4 in their past 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span.
• In the Rockets’ 31 games this season, they have 18 wins against the spread.
• The Rockets have gone over the point total 58.1% of the time this season (18 of 31 games with a set point total).
• The Rockets’ 120.5 points per game are only 2.6 more points than the 117.9 the Mavericks give up to opponents.
• Houston is 12-5 against the spread and 12-5 overall when it scores more than 117.9 points.
• The Rockets are shooting 49.4% from the field, 3.1% higher than the 46.3% the Mavericks’ opponents have shot this season.
• Against the spread, the Rockets have had better results on the road (12-7-0) than at home (6-6-0) .
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of Houston’s games have finished above the over/under at home (50%, six of 12) compared to away (63.2%, 12 of 19).
• The Rockets, when moneyline favorites, have won a higher percentage of games at home (10-2) than away (10-7) this year.

Rockets Recent Stats

Rockets Leaders

• Alperen Sengun puts up 22.6 points, 9.3 rebounds and 6.7 assists per game for the Rockets.
• The Rockets are getting 25.4 points, 5.0 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game from Kevin Durant this season.
• The Rockets are getting 18.0 points, 7.3 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game from Amen Thompson this season.
• Jabari Smith Jr. gives the Rockets 15.8 points, 6.9 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game while averaging 0.7 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• Reed Sheppard is averaging 13.5 points, 2.9 rebounds and 3.4 assists per contest. He is making 45.5% of his shots from the floor and 42.0% from 3-point range, with 2.6 treys per game.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.