Sunday, February 15

Assessing Kanematsu (TSE:8020) Valuation After Strong 1 Year Share Price Performance


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Kanematsu (TSE:8020) has drawn fresh attention after a 2.3% decline over the last day, following a strong past 3 months where the share price return stands at 36.2%.

Over the past month, the stock is up 11.2%, while the 1 year total return is 85.5%. That backdrop gives investors some recent context before weighing Kanematsu’s current earnings profile and valuation.

See our latest analysis for Kanematsu.

For Kanematsu, the recent 2.3% one day share price decline comes after a strong run. Momentum remains positive given the 30 day share price return of 11.2% and the 1 year total shareholder return of 85.5%.

If Kanematsu’s gains have you rethinking where you hunt for opportunities, this could be a good moment to check out our screener of 11 top founder-led companies as potential next ideas.

With Kanematsu trading at ¥2,229.5 and sitting at a 7.5% intrinsic discount plus a 16.7% gap to analyst targets, you have to ask: is there still an opportunity here, or is future growth already priced in?

Kanematsu is trading on a P/E of 11.5x at a last close of ¥2,229.5, and current indicators suggest the shares are priced below several value markers in its peer group.

The P/E multiple simply compares the share price to earnings per share, so it is a quick way to see how the market is valuing each yen of profit. For a trading oriented group like Kanematsu, investors often watch this closely because earnings can be sensitive to economic cycles and sector conditions.

Here, the current P/E of 11.5x screens as good value in several ways. It sits below the estimated fair P/E of 15.7x that our fair ratio work points to as a reference level for the market, and it is also lower than the JP Trade Distributors industry average of 12x and the peer average of 12.6x. Taken together, those gaps indicate the market is paying less for Kanematsu’s earnings than for similar companies, even though the company has reported high quality earnings, 5 year annual earnings growth of 16.3% and 23.8% earnings growth over the last year that exceeded the wider Trade Distributors industry.

Explore the SWS fair ratio for Kanematsu

Result: Price-to-Earnings of 11.5x (UNDERVALUED)

However, you also have to weigh risks such as earnings sensitivity to economic cycles, as well as the broad mix of trading activities across multiple segments and regions.

Find out about the key risks to this Kanematsu narrative.

While the current 11.5x P/E hints at value, our DCF model also points to Kanematsu trading below its estimated cash flow value, with the share price at ¥2,229.5 versus a model value of ¥2,410.29. If both signals line up, it may be useful to consider how comfortable you are with the risks behind those cash flow assumptions.

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

8020 Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026
8020 Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Kanematsu for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 21 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match – so you never miss a potential opportunity.

If this take does not fully match your view, or you prefer building on your own research, you can shape a customised Kanematsu story in just a few minutes, starting with Do it your way

A great starting point for your Kanematsu research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

If Kanematsu is only one piece of your watchlist, do not stop here. Use this moment to widen your search and pressure test your next moves.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include 8020.T.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com



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