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OMV (WBAG:OMV) has recently attracted investor attention after a period where the share price showed mixed short term moves, including a small 1 day decline and modest gains in the past week.
Over the past month and past 3 months, OMV’s total return has been positive, while the year to date and 1 year figures also show gains. Longer term 3 year and 5 year total returns are positive as well.
See our latest analysis for OMV.
Despite a small 1 day share price decline, OMV’s €54.8 share price sits on the back of a 10.2% 1 month and 14.9% 3 month share price return, alongside a 43.4% 1 year total shareholder return. This points to momentum having built over time as investors reassess its risk and earnings profile.
If this move in an integrated energy and chemicals group has you thinking more broadly about the sector, it could be a good moment to check out 84 nuclear energy infrastructure stocks as another way to source ideas beyond traditional oil and gas names.
With OMV trading at €54.8, above an average analyst price target of €51.46 but sitting on a 57% estimated intrinsic discount, you have to ask: is there still a buying opportunity here, or is future growth already priced in?
OMV’s narrative fair value of €50 sits below the current €54.8 share price, which puts the spotlight on how the long term transformation story is framed.
OMV is evolving from a traditional oil and gas company into a global leader in sustainable energy and materials. Its investments in circular economy solutions and renewable technologies align with long term market trends. If the company executes its strategy effectively, it could offer significant growth potential over the next 5 to 10 years.
Curious what justifies that gap between today’s price and the fair value Nenad sees, the narrative leans heavily on earnings power, margin resilience and a future profit multiple that reflects a business mix less tied to crude cycles. The exact assumptions sit under the hood, and they are what really drive that €50 number.
Result: Fair Value of €50 (OVERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.
However, that story can come under pressure if oil and gas price volatility affects cash flows, or if large transition projects face delays, cost overruns or regulatory setbacks.
