A number of stocks fell in the afternoon session after investors grew increasingly concerned about the sector’s exposure to the opaque private credit market. These jitters were fueled by specific events that raised red flags about potential risks.
Western Alliance Bancorporation announced it was writing off a $126.4 million loan after a counterparty group, led by Jefferies Financial Group, defaulted on a payment agreement. This news sent Western Alliance shares down more than 6%. The concerns are broader than a single loan, as a recent report noted that investment giant BlackRock had also slashed the value of a private loan in its portfolio to zero. Private credit refers to lending by non-bank institutions, a market that has grown rapidly but lacks the transparency of public markets, making investors nervous about what other hidden risks may exist on bank balance sheets.
The stock market overreacts to news, and big price drops can present good opportunities to buy high-quality stocks.
Among others, the following stocks were impacted:
UMB Financial’s shares are not very volatile and have only had 7 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful, although it might not be something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.
The previous big move we wrote about was 7 days ago when the stock dropped 7% on the news that hotter-than-expected inflation data and rising concerns over credit risk rattled investors.
January’s Producer Price Index (PPI), a measure of wholesale inflation, rose 0.5% against expectations of 0.3%, with the core component jumping 0.8%. This report fuels the narrative of “sticky inflation,” suggesting the Federal Reserve may have limited room to cut interest rates. Compounding these worries are growing anxieties in the credit markets. According to a Bank of America strategist, problem loans are an increasing concern that could pressure lenders. Investors are reassessing credit risk, particularly in private-credit and leveraged-loan markets, weighing on the valuations of banks sensitive to the economic cycle.