Griffin Wong shares his three favorite player prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Monday night’s NBA slate.
We’re nearly three weeks into the NBA regular season, so while it’s too early to call any trend real, per se — other than the Oklahoma City Thunder being good — several things about the 2025-26 season are coming into focus.
NBA fans will have even more data to go off of tonight when 60% of the league takes the floor as part of tonight’s featured nine-game slate. The slate will tip off with a trio of 7 p.m. ET games and end with the Atlanta Hawks visiting the LA Clippers at 10:30 p.m. ET.
With so many teams in action, there are hundreds of prop bets available at DraftKings Sportsbook. Here are my three favorites from tonight’s exciting Monday evening offering.
Top NBA prop bet picks
Deandre Ayton Double-Double (+121)
Ayton, the Los Angeles Lakers’ marquee free agent signing, has been everything Los Angeles could have asked for across his first three weeks in purple and gold, averaging 16.8 points and 8.0 rebounds per game and notching four double-doubles, all of which have come in his last seven games. In two of the three games across that span in which he did not record a double-double, it can be attributed to low playing time; in a nine-point, zero-rebound effort on October 31, he left the game early with back spasms, and no Lakers starter played much in the second half of Saturday’s blowout defeat to the Atlanta Hawks.
The Bahamian should be guaranteed to score at least 10 points, given that he’s done so in each game except for the one in which he was injured, especially since the Charlotte Hornets’ defense has allowed the fifth-most points per game in basketball so far this season. The main question is whether or not Ayton can record 10 boards, given that Charlotte has conceded the third-fewest rebounds. I’m bullish, because the Hornets’ rebounding numbers can largely be attributed to luck. Though they’ve been great at boxing out, they’ve had the second-most rebound chances this season and only hauled them in at a 54.8% rate. Ayton consistently puts himself in the right positions; of the 76 players who have played at least seven games this season and averaged at least 10 rebound chances per game, Ayton’s boards have come the 10th-closest to the basket.
Donovan Mitchell 5+ Three-Pointers Made (+183)
Though the Cleveland Cavaliers haven’t gotten off to quite as hot a start in 2025-26 as they did in 2024-25, when they won each of their first 15 games, they sit second in the Eastern Conference at 7-3. Just as he did last season, Mitchell is off to a hot start, averaging 30.7 points per game on 53-44-85 shooting splits, and he ranks 10th in the league in usage rate. As a result of the combination of efficiency and volume, he’s made five or more threes in three of his last four games, and in the sole exception, he went four-for-10 from deep in just 26 minutes as the Cavaliers blew out the Washington Wizards, 148-115. Getting +183 odds on one of the league’s best players to simply have an average performance by his recent standards is a steal.
The Miami Heat have had the league’s fifth-best defense this season — their sixth consecutive season with a top-10 defense — and have held opponents to the third-lowest three-point percentage, but that, too, is largely a matter of luck. With a pair of imposing rim protectors manning the middle in Bam Adebayo and Kel’el Ware, opponents have tended to fire away from deep against Miami, attempting the second-most tries per game. The Heat have gotten pretty lucky: despite allowing the 12th-most uncontested threes per game, they’ve allowed the league’s 10th-lowest percentage on such shots. They can’t expect to get that fortunate against Mitchell, who’s canned 50.0% of his wide-open triples this season after making 49.1% last season.
Myles Turner 7+ Rebounds (-102)
Turner, whose move from the Indiana Pacers to the division rival Milwaukee Bucks was arguably the most shocking move of the NBA offseason, has settled more into his groove after a rough first few games with Milwaukee. Including his “closing the book” game last Monday against Indiana (nine points, seven rebounds, and five blocks), Turner has recorded seven or more boards in three of the four games, and the sole exception came against the Houston Rockets, who have been the league’s best rebounding team this season. He’s never been a good rebounder for his size, but his 12.5% rebounding percentage this season is a slight uptick from the 12.1% he posted in 2024-25, when he had seven or more boards in 34 of his 72 games.
He has a friendly matchup tonight against a Dallas Mavericks team that has been utterly disastrous on the glass. Despite having a trio of impressive bigs in Anthony Davis, Dereck Lively II, and Daniel Gafford and a six-foot-nine wing in Cooper Flagg, the Mavericks have allowed the third-most rebounds per game this season. That might improve with better health — Davis has missed the last five games with an Achilles issue but is questionable to return tonight — but prior to Davis’ injury, Dallas had still allowed the fourth-most rebounds per game. The Mavericks’ real X-factor on the glass is not Davis but Lively, and Lively is still doubtful with a knee sprain.