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Bitcoin has been outperforming equities during the Iran conflict as ETF managers declared the “crypto winter” is bottoming.
Bitcoin has risen 10% while equities are down during the Iran conflict, demonstrating diversification benefits.
“So far in this conflict, actually, if you look at Bitcoin, it’s up a little bit and equities are down,” Hyman said on CNBC’s ‘ETF Edge’.
“The diversifying piece, I think, still stays intact as an important theme here,” he added.
Hyman challenged the narrative that cryptocurrencies are simply risk assets.
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His research shows Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP have minimal correlation with equities and equally low correlation with gold and silver.
This means crypto moves independently from both traditional risk assets and safe havens, supporting the diversification case even during market stress.
Main Management CEO Kim Arthur argued the market is in the “bottoming process in this nuclear winter.”
Bitcoin traded at $125,000 five months ago and was down over 50% when the Iran conflict erupted. “I do like the fact that it’s outperformed a lot of other asset classes,” Arthur said. “It’s up 10% off the lows.”
Arthur cited positive regulatory developments including the GENIUS Act last year and the CLARITY Act legislation being pushed through this year.
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Kraken is tokenizing NASDAQ stocks starting next year. “These are constructive things that are kind of building use cases,” Arthur said.
He also noted a critical shift in Bitcoin’s relationship to fundamentals.
For the first time in roughly eight years, Bitcoin’s price is lagging behind the regulatory progress and positive industry developments rather than running ahead of them.
Historically, Bitcoin rallied in anticipation of regulatory clarity that often failed to materialize.
Now the regulatory tailwinds are in place while Bitcoin remains depressed, creating a healthier setup where price can catch up to improving fundamentals.
Arthur distinguished between Bitcoin as a digital asset and stablecoins as stable currency.
“Bitcoin is a digital asset where stable coins are what they say they’re a stable currency.
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Bitcoin doesn’t live between both of those in my mind. It lives in that digital asset speculation purchase.”
Stablecoins are exploding, but 80% of the use case for stablecoins is trading other cryptocurrencies.
Only a couple percent of stablecoins is actually used for buying goods and services outside crypto. “That needs to continue to expand to get more broad adoption,” Arthur said.
Hyman was surprised at how low the correlation between Bitcoin and silver and gold was when running research.
He recalled the meltdown of crypto-related financial institutions when cryptocurrencies actually rose. “That’s pretty darn interesting,” Hyman said.
Image: Shutterstock
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This article Bitcoin’s ‘Nuclear Winter’ May Be Over Soon, ETF Analysts Say originally appeared on Benzinga.com
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