Monday, December 29

Bulgaria Adopts the Euro: How Will it Affect Greece?


Greece Bulgaria Euro
The €1 coin depicts Ivan of Rila, the patron saint of Bulgaria and founder of the Rila Monastery. He is shown holding a cross and a scroll. Credit: European Central Bank

Bulgaria’s adoption of the euro on January 1, 2026, is a landmark event for the Balkans, directly impacting Greece—particularly its northern regions—through trade, tourism, and consumer behavior.

Because the Bulgarian lev has been pegged to the euro since 1999, the change is less about a shift in value and more about the elimination of friction.

The most immediate impact will be felt in Northern Greece (Macedonia and Thrace). Greeks from cities like Serres, Komotini, and Alexandroupoli frequently cross into Bulgaria for cheaper fuel and groceries. The removal of currency exchange fees and the psychological barrier of the lev will likely increase this outflow of Greek consumer capital.

As of late 2025, petrol in Bulgaria remains roughly €0.55 cheaper per liter than in Greece due to lower taxes. Greek petrol stations near the border have seen a 50% closure rate; the euro adoption may further consolidate Bulgaria’s status as the region’s “discount gas station.”

In the long term, however, Greece may benefit. Eurozone membership often leads to a gradual “leveling up” of prices in the new member state. If Bulgarian inflation rises post-adoption, the price gap that currently drains the Greek market may begin to close.

Real estate and the “Bulgarian Riviera”

Bulgarians have become the primary foreign buyers of property in Northern Greece (Kavala, Thassos, and Chalkidiki). With the euro as a common currency, cross-border mortgage lending and property transactions become seamless. Analysts expect a surge in Bulgarian “second home” purchases, as Sofia’s rising middle class finds it easier to invest in Greek coastal assets without exchange rate risks.

Many of these properties are operated as Airbnbs, increasing competition for Greek tourism professionals but also boosting local property values.

Tourism between Greece and Bulgaria

For Greek tourists, winter trips to Bulgarian resorts like Bansko will become “domestic-style” transactions.

For Greek hotel chains and tour operators, dealing with Bulgarian partners will involve zero currency hedging costs. This is expected to boost the volume of road tourism, as Bulgarians can travel to Greek beaches with the same “pocket money” they use at home.

Business and corporate flight

A significant risk for the Greek state is tax competition. Bulgaria maintains a flat 10% corporate tax rate, significantly lower than Greece’s. With the euro removing the last “foreign” element of the Bulgarian economy, more Greek SMEs may be tempted to move their legal headquarters across the border to Sofia or Plovdiv while continuing to operate in Greece.

For larger Greek exporters, Bulgaria is a top-four trading partner. The euro will simplify logistics and VAT reconciliations, making the integrated “Balkan supply chain” more efficient and competitive against non-euro neighbors like Turkey or North Macedonia.





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