Sunday, March 15

Canadian CEOs turn inward as trade uncertainty forces focus on efficiency, costs: EY survey


After a year of trade fractures and economic volatility, Canadian CEOs have accepted that “uncertainty is the new normal” — and are responding by tightening control over costs, capital and operations rather than chasing growth abroad, according to a new EY Canada survey.

“For Canada, it’s absolutely a repositioning and a refocus,” Mauricio Zelaya, EY Canada’s national economics leader, told Yahoo Finance Canada. “It means rightsizing the organization and divesting certain assets to focus on the core. Geopolitical and macroeconomic risk is no longer top of mind — they’ve accepted it.”

A global version of the survey shows international CEOs more inclined to seek growth through acquisitions, more prepared to push investments forward despite disruptions, and more committed to “accelerate top-line growth.” The Canadian survey, which canvassed 50 CEOs from public and private companies with 2025 revenue between $325 million and $14 billion, shows leaders aggressively transforming the one thing they can control — their own cost structures.

Zelaya notes the resilience captured in the data. Though confidence around prices, growth, talent and investments has softened slightly since September 2025, the vast majority of CEOs remain somewhat or very optimistic about their 2026 prospects.

The focus on efficiency is being driven by necessity as much as strategy. Although CEO confidence remains resilient in areas like talent and technology, their belief in their ability to pass rising costs on to consumers has weakened. With the option to price their way out of trouble less plausible, optimizing operations to squeeze out new productivity has become a better lever for survival.

Zelaya suggests this inward turn is also a belated reckoning with Canada’s long-standing productivity gap. The previous year “just amplified and exposed existing systemic issues we’ve had in Canada for a long time,” he says, pointing to historical underinvestment in innovation. Now, rather than waiting for external conditions to improve, Canadian companies are using this period of instability to finally address those structural weaknesses. “For them, it’s more uncertainty is the new normal. … and because of that, they say ‘We’re no longer going to rely on external forces to drive our business,’” Zelaya said, instead asking “What is it that we can do?”

The survey shows 98 per cent of Canadian CEOs have altered their strategic plans in response to geopolitical uncertainty, moves Zelaya says stand in contrast to the “wait-and-see” posture of 2025. “Everyone is doing something,” he said. “Some just stopped completely. Others delayed. They exited markets. They entered markets. They relocated. They adapted to try and transform right now.”

That adaptation is visible in how Canadian firms are choosing to expand. Rather than committing capital to full acquisitions — 46 per cent plan to pursue M&A in the next 12 months, compared to 53 per cent globally — CEOs are pivoting to partnerships. Fully 80 per cent say they intend to pursue joint ventures or strategic alliances, a strategy that allows them to access new capabilities or markets while insulating their balance sheets from the risks of a full buyout.

This defensive discipline is perhaps most visible in how Canadian companies are deploying artificial intelligence. Deloitte, the Canadian Chamber of Commerce and others have warned that Canada risks falling behind on AI adoption, but Canadian leaders in the EY survey report a surprising degree of success — 34 per cent say their AI initiatives are performing “significantly above expectations,” higher than the 20 per cent global average.

Still, Zelaya cautions that many of these gains are narrow and task-specific, noting that AI adoption remains “in its infancy” and that early success may reflect low initial expectations rather than a full productivity breakthrough.

Despite the current optimism around efficiency, Zelaya warns that the equipment and technology needed to fuel future growth are “dropping quite quickly” as investment stalls — a trend that could leave the national economy structurally smaller if the period of hesitation drags on too long.

For now, however, Canadian CEOs appear willing to take that bet, trading the uncertainty of global expansion for the security of operational control. “Let’s not rely on external forces at the moment,” Zelaya said, summarizing the 2026 mindset. “What is it that we can focus on to move ahead?”

John MacFarlane is a senior reporter at Yahoo Finance Canada. Follow him on X @jmacf.

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