Celtics vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks – Feb. 19

The Golden State Warriors (29-26) face the Boston Celtics (35-19) on February 19, 2026 at Chase Center. The Celtics are currently modest 4-point favorites over the Warriors. The game’s point total is 223.5.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Celtics-Warriors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Celtics vs. Warriors Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, February 19, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, and NBCS-BOS
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Celtics vs. Warriors Prediction

ATS Pick: Warriors (+ 4)
O/U Pick: Over (223.5)
Score Prediction: Celtics 114 – Warriors 113

Celtics vs. Warriors Betting Insights

• This season, the Celtics games have gone over 223.5 points scored, their current matchup’s point total, 28 (out of 54) times.
• This year, 36 of the Warriors’ 55 games have had a combined total of more than 223.5 points scored.
• The Celtics and the Warriors combine to average 7.3 more points per game than the over/under of 223.5 set for this game.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 222.1 points per game, 1.4 fewer than the over/under in this game.
• Boston has come away with 27 wins in the 39 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Golden State has come away with six wins in the 16 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• After the last two head-to-head meetings, Boston and Golden State have a tied 1-1 record.
• The teams are each 1-1 against the spread in those contests.
• The Warriors did not beat the spread in their past three games, and were the favorite in one of those games.

Celtics Recent Trends

• The Celtics are 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their past 10 games.
• Boston and its opponents have combined to score an average of 222.2 points over its last 10 games, 1.3 less than the 223.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Celtics are 30-23-1 against the spread this season.
• Boston has been favored by 4 points or more 31 times this season and are 17-14 ATS in those contests.
• Celtics games this year have gone over the point total 36.4% of the time (20 out of 55 games with a set point total).
• The Celtics score only 1.6 more points per game (115.3) than the Warriors allow (113.7).
• Boston has a 23-4 record against the spread and a 25-2 record overall when scoring more than 113.7 points.
• The Celtics are shooting 46.7% from the field this season, 0.5 percentage points lower than the 47.2% the Warriors allow to opponents.
• Against the spread, the Celtics have performed worse at home, covering 13 times in 27 home games, and 17 times in 27 road games.
• In home games, Boston goes over the over/under 37% of the time (10 of 27 games). It hits the over in the same percentage of road games (10 of 27 contests).
• The Celtics have won a lower percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 15-7 (.682). In away games as a moneyline favorite, they have a record of 12-5 (.706).

Celtics Recent Stats

Celtics Leaders

• Jaylen Brown averages 29.3 points, 4.7 assists and 6.9 rebounds per game.
• Derrick White posts 17.2 points, 5.6 assists and 4.4 rebounds per game.
• Nikola Vucevic puts up 16.7 points, 3.7 assists and 9.0 boards per contest.
• Payton Pritchard posts 17.2 points, 4.2 rebounds and 5.3 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• Neemias Queta averages 9.7 points, 8.3 boards and 1.5 assists per contest, shooting 63.9% from the floor (fifth in NBA).

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors have a 3-7 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall over their past 10 games.
• Golden State has averaged a total of 225.8 combined points over its last 10 games, 2.3 greater than this game’s total of 223.5.
• The Warriors are 24-30-1 against the spread this year.
• This season, Golden State has an ATS record of 4-7 in its 11 games as an underdog of 4 points or more.
• Warriors games this season have gone over the point total 56.4% of the time (31 out of 55 games with a set point total).
• The Warriors’ 115.5 points per game are 7.1 more points than the 108.4 the Celtics allow to opponents.
• When it scores more than 108.4 points, Golden State is 20-19-1 against the spread and 25-15 overall.
• The Warriors are shooting 46.1% from the field, 1.7% higher than the 44.4% the Celtics’ opponents have shot this season.
• The Warriors have performed better against the spread at home (13-14-1) than away (11-16-0) this year.
• Looking at the over/under, Golden State’s games have gone over more frequently at home (17 of 28, 60.7%) than on the road (14 of 27, 51.9%).
• As moneyline favorites, the Warriors have won a higher percentage of games at home (17-7) than on the road (6-9).

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Brandin Podziemski is averaging 12.0 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3.5 assists per contest. He’s also draining 44.8% of his shots from the field and 37.0% from beyond the arc, with 1.7 triples per game.
• On a per-game basis, Draymond Green gives the Warriors 8.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 5.2 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
• Moses Moody is putting up 11.5 points, 3.3 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game. He is draining 43.7% of his shots from the field and 40.1% from 3-point range, with 2.4 treys per game.
• Quinten Post gets the Warriors 7.7 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game while putting up 0.4 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• Al Horford is putting up 7.6 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest. He is making 42.9% of his shots from the field and 33.8% from 3-point range, with 1.4 triples per game.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.