Heat vs. Kings Prediction, Odds, Picks – Dec. 6

The Sacramento Kings (5-17) hope to end a four-game losing skid when visiting the Miami Heat (14-9) on December 6, 2025 at Kaseya Center. Saturday’s matchup between the Heat and the Kings features the Heat as healthy 8-point favorites. The matchup’s point total is 239.5.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Heat-Kings game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Kings Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Saturday, December 6, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
• TV: FDSSUN and NBCS-CA
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Heat vs. Kings Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (- 8)
O/U Pick: Under (239.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 126 – Kings 112

Heat vs. Kings Betting Insights

• This season, the Heat games have gone over 239.5 points scored, their current matchup’s total, 12 (out of 23) times.
• Six of the Kings’ 22 games this season have had more than 239.5 total points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 5.7 fewer points per game, 233.8, than this game’s over/under of 239.5 points.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 1.2 more points per game (240.7) than this game’s total of 239.5 points.
• Miami has come away with seven wins in the 10 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Sacramento has been chosen as underdogs in 19 games this year and has walked away with the win three times (15.8%) in those games.
• Sacramento has a 2-0 record in the last two head-to-head matchups with Miami.
• The Kings also hold a 2-0 advantage against the spread when taking on the Heat.
• The Kings have not covered for four straight games against the spread, and were favored in zero of them.

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Miami’s average total over the last 10 games is 0.8 points more than the 239.5 over/under given for this matchup.
• The Heat have played 23 games, with 14 wins against the spread.
• Miami has been favored by 8 points or more two times this season and covered the spread in one of them.
• Heat games this year have hit the over 59.1% of the time (13 out of 22 games with a set point total).
• The Heat record 122.8 points per game, equal to what the Kings allow.
• When Miami scores more than 122.8 points, it is 8-2 against the spread and 8-2 overall.
• This season, the Heat have a 47.9% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.1% lower than the 50.0% of shots the Kings’ opponents have hit.
• The Heat have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered eight times in 12 opportunities at home, and they’ve covered six times in 11 opportunities in away games.
• Looking at point totals, Miami hits the over less often in home games, as it has exceeded the total six times in 12 opportunities this season (50%). In away games, it has hit the over seven times in 11 opportunities (63.6%).
• The Heat have won a higher percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 7-2 (.778). In away games as a moneyline favorite, they own a record of 0-1 (.000).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Kel’el Ware puts up 11.9 points, 10.5 rebounds and 0.6 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.0 steal and 1.3 blocks.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. puts up 15.3 points, 6.0 boards and 5.0 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Bam Adebayo posts 19.8 points, 9.1 boards and 2.5 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.9 blocks.
• Norman Powell averages 25.2 points, 3.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Andrew Wiggins averages 17.0 points, 2.9 assists and 5.1 rebounds.

Heat Player Props

Kings Recent Trends

• The Kings have a 3-7 record against the spread while finishing 2-8 overall over their last 10 games.
• Sacramento has averaged a total of 236.5 combined points over its last 10 games, 3.0 fewer than this matchup’s over/under of 239.5.
• The Kings have played 22 games, with seven wins against the spread.
• Sacramento has an against the spread record of 5-5 in its 10 games as an underdog of 8 points or more this season.
• The Kings have gone over the point total 45.5% of the time this year (10 of 22 games with a set point total).
• The Kings put up an average of 111.0 points per game, 6.9 fewer points than the 117.9 the Heat allow.
• When it scores more than 117.9 points, Sacramento is 4-2 against the spread and 3-3 overall.
• The Kings have shot at a 46.3% rate from the field this season, 2.3 percentage points above the 44.0% shooting opponents of the Heat have averaged.
• This year, the Kings are 2-8-0 at home against the spread (.200 winning percentage). Away, they are 5-6-1 ATS (.417).
• Sacramento’s games have gone above the over/under 40% of the time at home (four of 10), and 50% of the time away (six of 12).

Kings Recent Stats

Kings Leaders

• Russell Westbrook is putting up 13.5 points, 7.0 rebounds and 6.9 assists per game. He’s also draining 42.5% of his shots from the floor and 37.1% from beyond the arc, with 2.0 triples per game.
• The Kings are getting 18.1 points, 2.9 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game from DeMar DeRozan this year.
• Zach LaVine gets the Kings 19.8 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game while putting up 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Malik Monk is averaging 13.8 points, 2.0 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. He is making 45.8% of his shots from the floor and 42.2% from beyond the arc, with 2.0 treys per contest.
• Drew Eubanks is putting up 5.7 points, 3.1 rebounds and 0.4 assists per contest. He is making 61.4% of his shots from the field.

Kings Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.