Heat vs. Pistons Prediction, Odds, Picks – Nov. 29

The Miami Heat (13-6) welcome in the Detroit Pistons (15-4) after victories in four home games in a row. The Heat are currently moderate 3.5-point favorites over the Pistons. The point total for the game is 238.5.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Heat-Pistons game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Pistons Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
• TV: FDSSUN and FDSDETX
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Heat vs. Pistons Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (- 3.5)
O/U Pick: Under (238.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 120 – Pistons 116

Heat vs. Pistons Betting Insights

• The Heat have played 11 games with over 238.5 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under, this year.
• The Pistons games have gone over 238.5 total points scored in five of 19 total matchups this season.
• These two teams average 241.7 points per game combined, 3.2 more than the total of 238.5.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 8.5 fewer points per game (230) than this matchup’s over/under of 238.5 points.
• Miami has been the favorite in seven games this season and has come away with the win six times (85.7%) in those contests.
• Detroit has been victorious in four of the five contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• Detroit has taken three of its last four head-to-head matchups against Miami.
• The Pistons also have a 3-1 record against the spread when playing the Heat.
• Versus the point spread, the Pistons have failed to cover for three straight games, and were the favorite in all of those contests.

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat are 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their last 10 games.
• Miami has averaged a total of 241.5 combined points in its last 10 games, 3.0 greater than this matchup’s total of 238.5.
• Against the spread, the Heat are 12-6-1 this season.
• So far this season, Miami has been installed as favorites by a 3.5-point margin or more six times and are 3-3 ATS in those contests.
• Heat games this year have hit the over 57.9% of the time (11 out of 19 games with a set point total).
• The Heat average 122.9 points per game, 10.1 more points than the 112.8 the Pistons give up.
• When Miami puts up more than 112.8 points, it is 11-3 against the spread and 10-4 overall.
• The Heat make 47.9% of their shots from the field this season, which is 3.6 percentage points higher than the Pistons have allowed to their opponents (44.3%).
• Against the spread, the Heat have fared better when playing at home, covering seven times in 10 home games, and five times in nine road games.
• Looking at point totals, Miami hits the over less consistently in home games, as it has gone over the total four times in 10 opportunities this season (40%). In away games, it has hit the over seven times in nine opportunities (77.8%).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 16.2 points, 6.3 boards and 5.3 assists per contest, shooting 53.0% from the floor.
• Kel’el Ware posts 12.4 points, 10.9 rebounds and 0.6 assists per contest, shooting 52.9% from the field and 41.7% from downtown with 1.1 made treys per game.
• Norman Powell posts 24.5 points, 3.9 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Davion Mitchell puts up 9.8 points, 2.9 boards and 7.4 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• Andrew Wiggins posts 16.4 points, 4.8 boards and 2.8 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 1.1 steals and 1.0 block.

Pistons Recent Trends

• The Pistons have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Detroit and its opponents have combined to score an average of 231.4 combined points over its last 10 games, 7.1 less than the 238.5 over/under in this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Pistons are 12-7-0 this year.
• This season, Detroit won ATS in its only game as an underdog of 3.5 points or more.
• The Pistons have eclipsed the over/under 52.6% of the time this year (10 of 19 games with a set point total).
• The Pistons put up an average of 118.8 points per game, only 1.6 more points than the 117.2 the Heat give up to opponents.
• Detroit has put together an 8-2 ATS record and a 10-0 overall record in games it scores more than 117.2 points.
• The Pistons are shooting 48.2% from the field, 5.1% higher than the 43.1% the Heat’s opponents have shot this season.
• Against the spread, the Pistons have been better at home (7-3-0) than away (5-4-0).
• Detroit’s games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (six times out of 10) than away (four of nine) this season.
• This year the Pistons are 5-1 at home as moneyline favorites (.833 winning percentage). On the road they are 6-2 (.750).

Pistons Recent Stats

Pistons Leaders

• Cade Cunningham is putting up 28.8 points, 6.6 rebounds and 9.4 assists per game. He’s also sinking 44.9% of his shots from the floor and 31.7% from beyond the arc, with 2.1 triples per game.
• The Pistons are receiving 19.5 points, 11.8 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game from Jalen Duren this year.
• Ausar Thompson is averaging 12.0 points, 5.9 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game. He is draining 50.0% of his shots from the field.
• Duncan Robinson is putting up 12.3 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game. He is draining 43.3% of his shots from the floor and 40.6% from beyond the arc, with 3.1 triples per contest.
• Isaiah Stewart is averaging 10.2 points, 6.3 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest. He is making 51.3% of his shots from the field and 41.5% from 3-point range, with 1.1 triples per contest.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.