Kalshi odds update: Pebble Beach, Winter Olympics, and NBA All-Star prices

Sunday, February 15, 2026, brings a massive slate of prediction markets to Kalshi. From critical medal rounds in the Winter Olympics to the star-studded NBA All-Star festivities and the closing stretch of the Pebble Beach Pro-Am, traders have a wealth of data-driven opportunities.

Here is a comprehensive breakdown of the current Kalshi prices as of 7:15 a.m. E.T. Sunday morning, and implied probabilities for today’s top events.

Winter Olympics: Hockey Dominance and Medal Counts

The Winter Games markets are heating up, with hockey powerhouses taking center stage and one nation seemingly locking up the overall medal count.

Men’s Ice Hockey: Gold Medal Country

Canada has emerged as the clear favorite to stand atop the podium, but the United States remains a strong contender.

• Canada: 58% implied probability (1.67x return)
• United States: 29% implied probability (3.29x return)

Most Gold Medals

The market for total gold medals shows one nation distancing itself from the field.

• Norway: 96% implied probability (1.04x return)
• United States: 4% implied probability (23.43x return)

Tonight’s Hockey Matchups

Switzerland vs. Czech Republic

• Date: Feb 15 @ 10:10 PM
• Czech Republic: 71% implied probability (1.38x return)
• Switzerland: 28% implied probability (3.40x return)
• Market Summary: Traders are heavily backing the Czech squad, pricing them as strong favorites over the Swiss.

Canada vs. France

• Date: Feb 16 @ 2:40 AM
• Canada: 99% implied probability (1.01x return)
• France: 1% implied probability (93.52x return)
• Market Summary: In one of the most lopsided markets of the tournament, Canada is viewed as a near-lock to defeat France in the early morning hours.

PGA Tour: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Live)

With Round 3 complete, the leaderboard at Pebble Beach is tight. The “Winner” market is reacting in real-time to every shot, with Akshay Bhatia currently holding the pole position in the eyes of traders.

• Akshay Bhatia: 33% implied probability (Yes 33¢ / No 68¢)
• Collin Morikawa: 17% implied probability (Yes 17¢ / No 84¢)
• Jake Knapp: 16% implied probability (Yes 16¢ / No 85¢)
• Sepp Straka: 15% implied probability (Yes 15¢ / No 86¢)
• Jacob Bridgeman: 6% implied probability (Yes 6¢ / No 96¢)

Market Note: With four golfers separated by fewer than 20 percentage points, the market expects a volatile finish. Bhatia is the frontrunner, but Morikawa, Knapp, and Straka are all within striking distance.

NBA: All-Star Tournament Winner:

The NBA is experimenting with a new tournament format for the All-Star festivities tonight. The market is split between the international stars and the two United States squads.

• Event Start: Feb 15, 5:00 PM EST
• Team World: 42% implied probability (Yes 42¢ / No 59¢)
• Team USA Stripes: 31% implied probability (Yes 33¢ / No 68¢)
• Team USA Stars: 27% implied probability (Yes 27¢ / No 74¢)

Market Summary: “Team World,” featuring heavy hitters like Nikola Jokic and Luka Doncic, is the favorite at 42 cents. However, the combined probability of a USA victory (Stripes + Stars) sits at 58%, suggesting that while the World team is the strongest individual unit, the field (USA) is still more likely to take the trophy.

How to Read Kalshi Odds

On Kalshi, you trade on the outcome of events. The price of a contract (e.g., 33¢) represents the market’s estimated probability (33%) of that event happening.

• If you buy “Yes” at 33¢ and the event happens, the contract pays out $1.00 (a 67¢ profit).
• If the event does not happen, the contract goes to $0.

NEW: Claim Your $10 Kalshi Bonus with Promo Code SYRACUSE:

To help new traders get started with this packed Sunday schedule, Kalshi has extended its special Valentine’s Day offer. By using the Kalshi promo code SYRACUSE, first-time users can unlock a $10 bonus that is now valid through the end of President’s Day weekend.

This promotion arrives at the perfect moment to engage with today’s high-stakes markets, from the medal rounds of the Winter Olympics to the final putts at Pebble Beach.

How to Activate the “SYRACUSE” Kalshi Promo Code:

The SYRACUSE code is designed for new accounts and rewards you simply for exploring the platform’s unique market structure.

1. Sign Up: Download the Kalshi app or visit the website to create a new account.
2. Enter Code: Input the promo code SYRACUSE during the sign-up process.
3. Verify & Fund: Complete the standard identity verification and deposit funds to begin trading.
4. Trade to Claim: Make your first 10 trades (or trade a total of $10) on any of today’s events—whether it’s picking an NBA All-Star winner or predicting a hockey outcome.
5. Receive Bonus: Once the requirement is met, the $10 bonus is credited to your account, ready for immediate use on live markets or future events.

Don’t miss this opportunity to turn your sports knowledge into potential profit with a regulated, federally overseen exchange.

Must be 18 years or older and have a legal, U.S. residential address within the applicable state, D.C., or U.S. territories. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, and OH.

If you or a loved one has questions or needs to talk to a professional about gambling, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit 1800gambler.net for more information.