Nuggets vs. Celtics Prediction, Odds, Picks – Feb. 25

The Boston Celtics (38-19) will look to extend a four-game winning run when visiting the Denver Nuggets (36-22) on February 25, 2026 at Ball Arena. Denver is a modest 4-point favorite against Boston when the Nuggets face off against the Celtics on Wednesday. The game has a point total of 229.5.

Take a look at everything you need to know to know about the Nuggets-Celtics game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Nuggets vs. Celtics Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, February 25, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: ESPN and ALT
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Nuggets vs. Celtics Prediction

ATS Pick: Celtics (+ 4)
O/U Pick: Over (229.5)
Score Prediction: -Celtics 116 – Nuggets 115

Nuggets vs. Celtics Betting Insights

• The Nuggets have played 39 games with over 229.5 points scored, their current matchup’s point total, this season.
• A total of 23 Celtics games this season (out of 57) have gone over 229.5 total points scored.
• These teams average a combined 235.8 points per game, 6.3 more points than the total of 229.5 set for this matchup.
• The Nuggets and the Celtics have seen their opponents average a combined 5.6 fewer points per game than the point total of 229.5 set for this outing.
• Denver has won 26, or 68.4%, of the 38 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Boston has been an underdog in 15 games this season and has come away with the win eight times (53.3%) in those contests.
• Denver has come out on top in its one head-to-head matchup against Boston.
• The Nuggets have an advantage against the spread as well (1-0) when taking the court against the Celtics.
• Against the point spread, the Celtics have covered in four straight games, and were favored in all of those contests.

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets have gone 4-6 over their past 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span.
• Denver has averaged a total of 231.2 combined points in its last 10 games, 1.7 greater than this game’s over/under of 229.5.
• The Nuggets have 32 wins against the spread in 58 games this year.
• Denver is 15-16 ATS when favored by 4 points or more this season.
• The Nuggets have hit the over in 64.9% of their opportunities this year (37 times in 57 games with a set point total).
• The Nuggets put up 13.2 more points per game (120.8) than the Celtics give up (107.6).
• When Denver puts up more than 107.6 points, it is 28-20 against the spread and 32-16 overall.
• This season, the Nuggets have a 49.5% shooting percentage from the field, which is 5.3% higher than the 44.2% of shots the Celtics’ opponents have made.
• Against the spread, the Nuggets have fared worse at home, covering 12 times in 26 home games, and 20 times in 32 road games.
• When it comes to over/unders, Denver hits the over less often when playing at home, as it has gone over the total 15 times in 26 opportunities this season (57.7%). In road games, it has hit the over 22 times in 32 opportunities (68.8%).
• The Nuggets have fared better as a moneyline favorite in home games, putting up a home record of 12-5, compared to going 14-7 away from home.

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic averages 28.8 points, 12.5 rebounds and 10.5 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.8 blocks.
• Jamal Murray posts 25.5 points, 4.4 boards and 7.5 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1 steal and 0.4 blocks.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. posts 13.9 points, 2.6 boards and 1.3 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.5 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• Bruce Brown posts 7.8 points, 4 rebounds and 2.2 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Jonas Valanciunas averages 8.9 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest, shooting 56.9% from the field.

Nuggets Player Props

Celtics Recent Trends

• The Celtics have an 8-2 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall over their last 10 games.
• Boston and its opponents have combined to score an average of 218.2 combined points in its last 10 games, 11.3 less than the 229.5 over/under in this matchup.
• In the Celtics’ 57 games this year, they have 33 wins against the spread.
• Boston has been underdogs by 4 points or more four times this year and are 3-1 ATS in those matchups.
• Celtics games this season have hit the over 21 times in 57 opportunities (36.8%).
• The Celtics score an average of 115 points per game, just 1.3 fewer points than the 116.3 the Nuggets give up to opponents.
• When it scores more than 116.3 points, Boston is 21-3 against the spread and 24-0 overall.
• The Celtics are shooting 46.7% from the field, which equals what the Nuggets’ opponents have shot this season.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Celtics have a lower winning percentage at home (.481, 13-14-0 record) than on the road (.667, 20-9-1).
• Looking at the over/under, Boston’s games have gone over more frequently at home (10 of 27, 37%) than on the road (11 of 30, 36.7%).
• The Celtics, when moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (15-7) than away (15-5) this season.

Celtics Recent Stats

Celtics Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Derrick White gives the Celtics 17.1 points, 4.5 rebounds and 5.7 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 1.5 blocked shots (10th in league).
• Nikola Vucevic is averaging 16.2 points, 8.8 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game. He’s draining 50.2% of his shots from the floor and 37.4% from 3-point range, with 1.6 triples per contest.
• Payton Pritchard is averaging 17.4 points, 4.2 rebounds and 5.4 assists per game. He is draining 46.4% of his shots from the floor and 36.4% from beyond the arc, with 2.6 triples per game.
• Neemias Queta gives the Celtics 9.8 points, 8.4 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game while delivering 0.9 steals and 1.3 blocked shots.
• Sam Hauser gives the Celtics 9.3 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest while putting up 0.6 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

Celtics Player Props

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