Friday, March 20

Oil prices give up gains as Netanyahu says Israel will help US reopen Strait of Hormuz, Iran attacks Gulf energy infrastructure


Oil prices flipped lower on Thursday as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said at a press conference that his country would help the US reopen the Strait of Hormuz, where traffic has fallen to a near-standstill.

The comments came after a wave of new escalatory attacks by Iran and Israel targeted key energy infrastructure throughout the Gulf, with price action only slightly slowed by comments from US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggesting the US may remove sanctions on Iranian crude.

Futures on Brent crude (BZ=F), the international benchmark, soared through Wednesday night and Thursday morning to briefly cross $119 per barrel for the second time since the war began. Futures on US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude (CL=F) moved up to hold around $97 per barrel.

As Netanyahu spoke, Brent and WTI gave up those gains to trade above $104 and near $93 per barrel, respectively.

Over the past 24 hours, Middle Eastern energy infrastructure has come increasingly under fire, crossing what was previously seen as a red line in the conflict and marking a new height of escalation in the war in Iran.

Read more: You can trade oil futures. What to know before you start.

The newest wave of action began on Wednesday with strikes by Israel on Iran’s South Pars gas field — the Iranian section of the largest natural gas reserve in the world, which the regime shares with Qatar. Axios has reported that the US was aware of Israel’s intent to target the field, though President Trump denied having knowledge of the attack in a Truth Social post.

Following the strikes on South Pars, Iran published a target list of energy infrastructure in the region and ordered evacuations from the sites. In the hours since, the regime has targeted Saudi Arabia’s SAMREF refinery, which is co-owned by Saudi Aramco (2223.SR) and Exxon Mobil (XOM); taken two gas facilities in the UAE offline; and struck two refineries in Kuwait.

The most prominent of those targets, Qatar’s Las Raffan LNG export terminal — the largest in the world — was reported to have sustained “extensive damage” by QatarEnergy early Thursday morning, adding to damage earlier in the conflict that pushed QatarEnergy to declare force majeure on shipments from the export complex.

Read more: How oil price shocks ripple through your wallet, from gas to groceries

In commentary on Thursday, Rystad Energy said that if Iran’s full list of potential targets throughout the Gulf were to come to fruition, oil prices would be very likely to hit $120 per barrel — which Brent crude came within less than $1 overnight.

Prices came slightly off their highs Thursday morning after US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Fox News that the US was considering removing sanctions on Iranian crude oil already on the water. As of late February, Iran had roughly 191 million barrels of oil on the water, according to data from energy intelligence firm Kpler.

Even so, Goldman Sachs estimated on Wednesday that the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the near-total drop-off in tanker traffic have cut roughly 16.1 million barrels per day of oil flows, even accounting for redirections through pipelines in the region.

QatarEnergy's operating facilities in Ras Laffan Industrial City on March 2, 2026. Qatar suspended liquefied natural gas production on March 2, causing a massive leap in prices, after Iranian strikes hit Gulf energy facilities in a new escalation of the Middle East war. (Photo by AFP via Getty Images)
QatarEnergy’s operating facilities in Ras Laffan Industrial City on March 2, 2026. Qatar suspended liquefied natural gas production on March 2, causing a massive leap in prices, after Iranian strikes hit Gulf energy facilities in a new escalation of the Middle East war. (AFP via Getty Images) · – via Getty Images

Proving out the stress in the physical market, spot prices for Dubai and Oman grades of crude oil have surged to $166.80 per barrel as of Thursday morning, according to Bloomberg data. Analysts have suggested that the disconnect between the physical market and the “paper” futures market could signal a steeper climb ahead for futures, especially the international benchmark Brent crude.

The strikes on energy infrastructure also push out the timeline for any signs of deescalation — which appears to be nowhere in sight — and for how long the effects of the war on the global energy system will linger. Analysts have estimated that the damage to energy infrastructure is now significant enough that it could take months to years, not weeks, to repair and bring it back to normalcy.

“We could get $125, $130 a barrel oil very easily” if the conflict is measured in months, not weeks,” BMO Capital Markets head of US rates strategy Ian Lyngen said on Bloomberg TV Thursday morning.

Jake Conley is a breaking news reporter covering US equities for Yahoo Finance. Follow him on X at @byjakeconley or email him at jake.conley@yahooinc.com.

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