Thursday, March 5

Stocks fall and oil rises as Iran and Israel launch fresh wave of attacks


The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) and European stocks headed lower on Thursday morning as Israel and Iran launched fresh attacks. Iran warned that the US would “bitterly regret” torpedoing an Iranian warship in the Indian Ocean, while Israel said it had begun a “large-scale” attack on Tehran.

Global markets have been thrown into turmoil this week after the US and Israel began strikes against Iran over the weekend.

Tehran also effectively shut down the Strait of Hormuz, through which a fifth of the world’s crude and considerable liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies travel, sending oil prices soaring.

Brent (BZ=F) has climbed toward $84 a barrel, at the time of writing, after jumping 12% over the first three days of the week, while West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) sits around $77.

The cost of government borrowing has also risen again on Thursday, following the latest spike in the price of oil, amid worries that continued conflict in the Middle East will deliver an inflation shock.

Bond yields, the return governments promise to buyers of their debt, rose across Europe, with eurozone government bonds set for their ⁠steepest weekly selloff in a year. Germany’s benchmark 10-year bund was up four basis points to 2.79%.

Meanwhile, the yield on 10-year UK gilts rose by seven basis points to more than 4.5%, mirroring sharp rises seen earlier this week.

  • London’s benchmark index (^FTSE) was 0.3% down in early trade.

  • Germany’s DAX (^GDAXI) dipped 0.6% and the CAC (^FCHI) in Paris headed 0.7% into the green.

  • The pan-European STOXX 600 (^STOXX) was 0.5% lower.

  • Wall Street is set for a negative start as S&P 500 futures (ES=F), Dow futures (YM=F) and Nasdaq futures (NQ=F) were all in the red.

  • The pound was 0.4% down against the US dollar (GBPUSD=X) at 1.3322

Follow along for live updates throughout the day:

LIVE 2 updates

  • Asia and US overnight

    Stocks in Asia were xxx overnight, with the

  • Coming up

    Good morning, and welcome back to our markets live blog. As usual we will be taking a deep dive into what’s moving markets and happening across the global economy.

    Looking at the day ahead, data releases include Euro Area retail sales and French industrial production for January, the German and UK construction PMIs for February, as well as the US weekly initial jobless claims.

    Central bank speakers include ECB President Lagarde, Vice President de Guindos, the ECB’s Nagel and Rehn, and the Fed’s Goolsbee. Otherwise, the ECB will publish the account of its February meeting.

    Here’s a snapshot of what’s on the agenda today:

    • 7am: Trading updates: Admiral, Aviva, Reckitt Benckiser, Rentokil Initial, Endeavour Mining, Taylor Wimpey, Harbour Energy, Entain, ITV, Serco, OSB, Coats, Lancashire Holdings, Elementis, Spire Healthcare, Hunting, Pagegroup and Foxtons

    • 9am: UK car sales for February

    • 9.30am: UK construction PMI for February

    • 1.30pm: US initial jobless claims

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