The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) and other European markets rallied on Wednesday morning, after president Donald Trump said that the US could end its military operation in Iran within two to three weeks. Trump told reporters at the White House on Tuesday that the US would be leaving Iran “very soon”, adding that an exit could happen “within two weeks, maybe two weeks, maybe three”. The president also said that Iran “doesn’t have to make a deal”.
The White House later said that Trump will deliver an address to the nation at 9pm ET on Wednesday to “provide an important update on Iran”. Stocks jumped, while oil prices have plunged, in early European trading on hopes of an end to the conflict in the Middle East. Brent crude futures (BZ=F) slid 4% to $99.73 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) futures were down 3% to $98.23 a barrel at the time of writing.
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Emma Wall, chief investment strategist at Hargreaves Lansdown, said: “Markets paint an optimistic picture this morning – choosing to believe the optimism from the White House that the war in Iran will be over in a couple of weeks.”
“Trump’s comments suggest that the US will call victory soon and remove their presence from the region, despite no deal being reached with Iran,” she said.
“While this is expected to provide an immediate boost to stocks, energy disruption would continue for some months, and likely impact both inflation and economic growth,” Wall added. “We think the Bank of England holds rates during this period.”
Over in the UK, prime minister Keir Starmer is due to hold a press conference on Wednesday morning at to share the government’s plans to support people impacted by price rises caused by the Iran war.
Here’s how markets are faring on Wednesday morning:
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London’s benchmark index (^FTSE) surged 1.8% in early trading
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Germany’s DAX (^GDAXI) soared 2.8% and the CAC (^FCHI) in Paris headed 2.3% into the green
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The pan-European STOXX 600 (^STOXX) was up 2.4%
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On Wall Street, futures linked to the S&P 500 (ES=F) rose 0.7% as contracts on the Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) climbed 1%. Dow futures (YM=F) inched up 0.6%.
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The pound was 0.4% higher against the US dollar (GBPUSD=X) at $1.3279.
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‘Coiled spring unleashed’ in markets
Richard Hunter, head of markets at Interactive Investor, said: “A coiled spring was unleashed as investors saw clear light at the end of the tunnel for an end to the hostilities in the Middle East.
“With a mountain of cash reportedly on the sidelines, investors had been waiting for a trigger to put the money to work. This was provided by the US resident confirming a timeline of two to three weeks before the US retreats, leaving others to restore trading through the Strait of Hormuz. At the same time, the Iranian President was said to be open to ending the war, subject to certain guarantees.”
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