MIAMI — The irony is this could’ve been the time, if ever there was a season for the Miami Heat to covertly capitulate.
A full-scale tank? No, the Heat would never go there, a flat-out, from-the-start commitment to lottery odds no matter the unseemliness of it all.
Remember, this is a team that wouldn’t even do it at 11-30, instead insisting on the good fight back to 30-11 over the second half of 2016-17. As if karma was on their side, the reward in that year’s lottery was Bam Adebayo, hardly a consolation prize.
But this season, the door was opened by Tyler Herro appearing in only 11 games before the All-Star break, with injuries ruining any hope of continuity over the first 50-plus games, with Adebayo dealing with the type of ailments that have had many leading men living on lottery lane coaxed into shutting it down — from Jaren Jackson Jr. to Domantas Sabonis to Anthony Davis.
And all the factors making it a prudent Heat approach also were in place:
— A loaded top of the draft that could deliver elite, star-level talent deep into the lottery.
— The dynamic that the Heat were without their own first-round pick last year (that went to Oklahoma City) and could be without their first-round pick next year (which could be headed to Charlotte).
— And the reality that this Heat roster for months has not shown the ability to contend for homecourt advantage in any round, the seeming minimum requirement for any team that in any way fancies itself as a contender.
So why the debate now?
Because never has the reality of tanking been more pronounced, at least publicly. The covert has grown overt, withx the Jazz and Pacers penalized before the All-Star break, Commissioner Adam Silver addressing it during the All-Star break, and NBA ownership types Mark Cuban, who still owns a portion of the Mavericks, and Mat Ishbia, the owner of the Suns, each making it a talking point on social media, with Cuban in favor, Ishbia against.
For the Heat, such has long been a moral stance, a seemingly unbreakable vow of Pat Riley to the team’s following of (cue the Culture): “The hardest working, best conditioned, most professional, unselfish, toughest, meanest, nastiest team in the NBA.”
Never has Riley ascended to the lottery podium (with a scowling Alonzo Mourning instead in his place). Draft parties for the Heat? Sure. Lottery parties? The LeBron year, but that’s about it.
Talk to those who have been with the Heat for decades and the insistence is at no point was the lottery prioritized during the start. (In the formative years, such visits were a given, even with Ron Rothstein attempting to push every button possible.)
Not even when Mourning was felled by kidney disease, when Tim Hardaway could manage little more than a limp, when Dwyane Wade regrettably was allowed to depart in free agency to the Bulls.
But there have been times when reality intervened and a course correction was made.
As in 2008, when Wade’s left knee simply couldn’t keep giving, and then when Udonis Haslem’s left’s ankle gave out.
Enter Blake Ahearn, Stephane Lasme, Kasib Powell, and an additional ensemble cast that couldn’t.
No, the Heat were not, are not, will not go down such a road again, not when roster continuity is so essential for seasons ahead, especially when one of those upcoming seasons will require the forwarding of a first-round pick to the Hornets.
But there could have been a turn to youth, a course adjustment now far less likely after the passing of the Feb. 5 NBA trading deadline.
Had moves been made then for draft capital in place of potential free agents Andrew Wiggins and Norman Powell, it likely would have been easier to slow play it with Herro and Adebayo, instead featuring the youth of, say, a lineup of Kel’el Ware, Nikola Jovic, Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr. and Kasparas Jakucionis.
That, in turn, would have allowed the Heat to fully explore their pipeline, hardly draw the type of Silver scrutiny that Utah and Indiana did with their lineup shenanigans, and removed the pressure from Erik Spoelstra of trying to win now rather than develop for later.
The problem was the jump that Indiana, Brooklyn and Washington got in the East with their race to the bottom, and the head-first dives taken by Memphis, Sacramento and Utah in the West.
And yet, with flattened lottery odds that have provided ample jumps in recent years, the option still was there at both the trading deadline, and the All-Star break.
If nothing else, the recent comments by Silver, Cuban and Ishbia not only have shown that tanking is real, but practically has become a legitimized process already in progress.
Until the rules are changed, as Silver has vowed, to ignore the lottery and tanking possibilities is akin to ignoring the value of 3-point shots, zone defense or any other means to get ahead of the game.
IN THE LANE
HERE’S WHAT: Mentioned this on social media but repeating it here: If the NBA truly believes that a team is intentionally not playing to win — whether you call it tanking or otherwise — and therefore seeks to penalize, cash is not the answer. Cash beyond the limits of the salary cap, tax and apron is largely an unlimited resource amid today’s multibillion valuations. The two best ways to penalize would be: add win totals for lottery purposes for the amount of games cited as having been tanked; remove lottery combinations for tanking teams of the 1,001 apportioned combinations available from the lottery drum (if a discarded four-number combination is drawn, simply re-draw).
THE NO-SHOWS: Included in Mark Cuban‘s well-reasoned posts on how tanking is overstated as an NBA detriment was his assertion that fans who go to games largely are living in that single moment, wanting to best be entertained for those two or three hours. But that also is why this is a problem, when considering how many known quantities are shut down once their teams move in favor of the lottery. So, now, Jaren Jackson Jr., Trae Young, Anthony Davis, Domantas Sabonis, Zach LaVine (maybe even Giannis Antetokounmpo) and so many others out of view for fans hoping to catch a glance, largely because of lottery odds. Granted, injured players should receive all needed treatment. But if the NBA can determine that Pascal Siakam could have played in the game that Indiana was fined $100,000 for sitting him, then let such a review board determine who truly has to sit.
WAIT? WHAT?: Among the anti-tanking suggestions reported out of the league’s meeting was seeding all play-in teams into the lottery, not just those that are eliminated. In theory, that could have had the Heat in the 2023 NBA Finals and the lottery, based on their rise from the play-in (they instead got Jaime Jaquez Jr. at No. 18). On one hand, it could have teams pushing for the play-in, making more of their games matter. On the other hand, it could have teams doing the minimum to make the play-in, even as a No. 10 seed, in order to boost their lottery seeding. What it means is that the league already is concerned that lower play-in seeds might be ducking out of the play-in round on purpose, instead favoring the lottery. No, none of this is a good look, at all.
ELEPHANT, ROOM: So tank talk dominates All-Star Weekend, and, boom, instant action by the NBA in terms of Thursday’s brainstorming by team executives. But when something gets pushed to the backburner? Recall, it was Dec. 16 during the NBA Cup playoffs in Las Vegas, when Adam Silver addressed the Heat still owing a future first-round pick to Charlotte for Terry Rozier, when at the time of the Rozier trade the guard already had been under league gambling investigation, a factor not revealed to the Heat. “I’m incredibly sympathetic to the Heat and to their fans. But I think we’re going to try to work something through, work this out with them,” Silver said. “This is an unfortunate circumstance. But sometimes there’s unique events and maybe sometimes they require unique solutions.” So a deep dive into tanking reform in a matter of days. But what happened in Vegas in December apparently stays in Vegas.
NUMBER
$5.07M. Value of the three-year contract signed by Myron Gardner with his conversion from his Heat two-way contract. Of that total only the balance of this season’s salary and $500,000 for next season is guaranteed.
