Timberwolves vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks – Jan. 3

The Miami Heat (19-15) will attempt to continue a four-game winning stretch when hosting the Minnesota Timberwolves (21-13) on January 3, 2026 at Kaseya Center. Saturday’s matchup between the Timberwolves and the Heat features the Timberwolves as moderate 2.5-point favorites. The over/under for the matchup is 239.5.

Here is everything you need to know about the Timberwolves-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Timberwolves vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET
• Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
• TV: FDSSUN, FDSN, NBA TV, and WPLG
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports.

Timberwolves vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (+ 2.5)
O/U Pick: Under (239.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 120 – Timberwolves 116

Timberwolves vs. Heat Betting Insights

• The Timberwolves and their opponent have combined to score over 239.5 points, the current matchup’s point total, in seven of 34 games this season.
• The Heat games have gone over 239.5 total points scored in 16 of 34 total matchups this year.
• Between them, these two teams average 0.2 more points per game (239.7) than this matchup’s over/under (239.5).
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 7.5 fewer points per game (232) than this matchup’s over/under of 239.5 points.
• Minnesota has won 19, or 70.4%, of the 27 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Miami has been victorious in 10, or 52.6%, of the 19 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• Minnesota and Miami have split the last two games they’ve played.
• The Heat hold a 2-0 advantage against the spread when taking on the Timberwolves.
• The Heat have been favored in one of their past four games, and covered the spread in all four.

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have gone 6-4 in their past 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span.
• Minnesota and its opponents have combined to score an average of 232.5 points over its last 10 games, 7.0 less than the 239.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Timberwolves have 13 wins against the spread in 34 games this season.
• Minnesota has been favored by 2.5 points or more 26 times this season and are 10-16 ATS in those contests.
• Timberwolves games this year have gone over the total in 15 out of 34 opportunities (44.1%).
• The Timberwolves score 118.8 points per game, only 1.4 more points than the 117.4 the Heat allow.
• When Minnesota totals more than 117.4 points, it is 9-7 against the spread and 15-1 overall.
• This season, the Timberwolves have a 47.6% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.0% higher than the 45.6% of shots the Heat’s opponents have made.
• The Timberwolves have done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (7-11-0) than they have in road games (6-10-0).
• Minnesota has exceeded the over/under in six of 18 home games (33.3%). It has fared better in road games, topping the total in nine of 16 matchups (56.2%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Timberwolves have won a higher percentage of their games at home (.733) compared to road games (.667).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle posts 22.3 points, 7.0 rebounds and 5.8 assists per game, shooting 48.4% from the floor and 33.3% from downtown with 1.6 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Anthony Edwards posts 29.1 points, 5.0 boards and 3.6 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.9 blocks.
• Rudy Gobert puts up 11.0 points, 11.0 boards and 1.9 assists per contest, shooting 71.0% from the floor (first in league).
• Naz Reid averages 14.0 points, 2.4 assists and 6.3 boards.
• Donte DiVincenzo averages 13.3 points, 4.4 boards and 4.1 assists per game, shooting 41.0% from the field and 37.9% from downtown with 3.0 made treys per game.

Timberwolves Player Props

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have gone 5-5 over their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
• Miami has averaged a total of 235.6 combined points over its last 10 games, 3.9 fewer than this game’s total of 239.5.
• Against the spread, the Heat are 20-13-1 this year.
• Miami has been underdogs by 2.5 points or more 15 times this year and are 10-4-1 ATS in those contests.
• Heat games this year have hit the over on 17 of 34 set point totals (50%).
• The Heat score an average of 120.9 points per game, 6.3 more points than the 114.6 the Timberwolves allow to opponents.
• Miami has put together a 17-5 ATS record and a 15-7 overall record in games it scores more than 114.6 points.
• The Heat have shot at a 47.3% rate from the field this season, 1.5 percentage points above the 45.8% shooting opponents of the Timberwolves have averaged.
• Against the spread, the Heat have an identical winning percentage (.588) at home (10-7-0 record) and away (10-6-1).
• Looking at the over/under, Miami’s games have gone over eight of 17 times at home (47.1%), and nine of 17 on the road (52.9%).
• The Heat’s winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .615 (8-5), and on the road it is .500 (1-1).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Kel’el Ware is putting up 12.4 points, 10.6 rebounds and 0.5 assists per game. He’s also draining 55.6% of his shots from the field and 45.3% from 3-point range (seventh in league), with 1.3 triples per game.
• The Heat are receiving 24.2 points, 3.9 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game from Norman Powell this year.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. is putting up 16.5 points, 5.3 rebounds and 4.8 assists per game. He is making 53.3% of his shots from the floor.
• Bam Adebayo gives the Heat 17.7 points, 9.7 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game while posting 1.0 steal and 0.8 blocked shots.
• Andrew Wiggins gives the Heat 16.5 points, 5.0 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest while putting up 1.2 steals and 1.1 blocked shots.

Heat Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.