Warriors vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks – Jan. 2

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder (29-5) face Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors (18-16) on January 2, 2026 at Chase Center on Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, and FDSOK. Friday’s matchup has no set line between the Warriors and the Thunder.

Here is everything you need to know about the Warriors-Thunder game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Warriors vs. Thunder Game Information and TV Channel

• When: Friday, January 2, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, and FDSOK
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Warriors vs. Thunder Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (+ )
O/U Pick: Under ()
Score Prediction: Thunder 117 – Warriors 112

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall in their last 10 games.
• Against the spread, the Warriors are 15-18-1 this season.
• Warriors games this year have hit the over 58.8% of the time (20 out of 34 games with a set point total).
• The Warriors record 8.1 more points per game (115.6) than the Thunder give up (107.5).
• Golden State is 12-12-1 against the spread and 15-10 overall when scoring more than 107.5 points.
• The Warriors make 45.6% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.3 percentage points higher than the Thunder have allowed to their opponents (43.3%).
• When playing at home, the Warriors own a better record against the spread (7-6-1) compared to their ATS record in road games (8-12-0).
• Golden State has gone over the total less consistently at home, hitting the over in eight of 14 home matchups (57.1%). In road games, it has hit the over in 12 of 20 games (60%).
• When playing at home, the Warriors have won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, producing a record of 9-3 (.750). In away games, they are 5-7 (.417) as a moneyline favorite.

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• Jimmy Butler III puts up 19.7 points, 4.9 assists and 5.6 rebounds per contest.
• Curry posts 28.7 points, 4.0 boards and 4.3 assists per game, shooting 46.8% from the field and 39.4% from beyond the arc with 4.8 made treys per game (first in NBA).
• Brandin Podziemski puts up 12.5 points, 4.4 boards and 3.2 assists per contest, shooting 46.6% from the floor and 40.9% from beyond the arc with 2.0 made 3-pointers per game.
• Draymond Green averages 8.5 points, 6.0 boards and 5.3 assists per game, shooting 42.2% from the floor and 33.9% from downtown with 1.5 made treys per contest.
• Moses Moody averages 10.8 points, 3.4 boards and 1.6 assists per game. At the other end he averages 0.9 steals and 0.7 blocks.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder have gone 6-4 in their last 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span.
• The Thunder have 18 wins against the spread in 34 games this year.
• Thunder games this season have eclipsed the over/under 18 times in 34 opportunities (52.9%).
• The Thunder average 8.7 more points per game (122.1) than the Warriors allow their opponents to score (113.4).
• When it scores more than 113.4 points, Oklahoma City is 18-7 against the spread and 24-1 overall.
• The Thunder’s 49.4% shooting percentage from the field this season is 2.9 percentage points higher than the Warriors have given up to their opponents (46.5%).
• The Thunder’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .579 (11-8-0). On the road, it is .467 (7-8-0).
• In terms of the over/under, Oklahoma City’s games have finished over 10 of 19 times at home (52.6%), and eight of 15 on the road (53.3%).
• When moneyline favorites, the Thunder have won a higher percentage of games at home (17-2) than away (12-3).

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Gilgeous-Alexander delivers 32.1 points, 4.7 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game for the Thunder.
• Chet Holmgren is putting up 18.3 points, 8.0 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest. He’s draining 57.1% of his shots from the floor and 39.3% from 3-point range, with 1.4 treys per contest.
• The Thunder are receiving 14.1 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game from Ajay Mitchell this year.
• The Thunder are receiving 11.2 points, 10.4 rebounds and 3.0 assists per game from Isaiah Hartenstein this year.
• The Thunder are receiving 8.0 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game from Cason Wallace this year.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.